Gas $7 Per Gallon in Four Years

by Lloyd Alter, Toronto on 04.25.08
Science & Technology (alternative energy)

rubin.jpg Time to buy a bike: Gasoline prices in North America will soar over the next four years to $7.00, causing a massive jolt to the continent's manufacturing base not seen since the oil shocks of the 1970s, a leading economist is warning. Jeff Rubin of CIBC World Markets was laughed at three years ago when he predicted $ 100 per barrel oil, and now thinks it will climb to $225 in four years. (Houston Chronicle quotes him as saying gas will cost $10 per gallon) From the National Post:

"Stripping out natural gas liquids, oil production has not grown for over two years, which certainly goes a long way to explaining why oil prices have doubled over that period," Rubin said. "It is increasingly clear that the outlook for oil supply signals a period of unprecedented scarcity."

Rubin predicts hybrids will go "from marketing and PR fluff to the core of car production." People will move closer to where they work. "I think there will be fewer people on the road in North America in five years than there is right now." ::Houston Chronicle and ::National Post

See also Stop Whining About Gas Prices and Truckers to Protest High Gas Prices

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Comments (15)

If I was a betting man - all my money would be on Jeff Rubin - the only thing is I think $7 a gallon gas will come sooner than four years from now.

Here is my take on it - Never running out of oil

Cheers - Eric - PickupPal.com

I think $10 gas can't come soon enough. We have to radically change our culture starting now if we have any hope of getting through the peak oil crash that has already started. The longer we wait, the more painful it will be for everyone. It's inevitable, there is nothing anyone can do to stop the crash. See the movie "A Crude Awakening" for a great explanation.

jump to top Daniel Zajic says:

Time to buy a bicycle is right, we've been saying this for years. It's hard to argue against using a vehicle that gets 600+ mpg equivalent, strengthens your body, lessens your risk of all sorts of diseases and saves you lots of money. Checkout Electric Bicycles

Time to buy a bicycle is right, we've been saying this for years. It's hard to argue against using a vehicle that gets 600+ mpg equivalent, strengthens your body, lessens your risk of all sorts of diseases and saves you lots of money. Checkout Electric Bicycles

That is just about what we pay in my part of the world now, but i'm sure we will see an increase in price as well.

jump to top lobster says:

It's already more than $7 per gallon in other parts of the world - in New Zealand yesterday the prices were

Unleaded (91-octane) = 188.9c/L
Unleaded (98-octane) = 202.9c/L
Diesel = 156.9c/L

For you North Americans, that is $7.15, $7.68, and $5.94 per US fluid gallon, respectively.

$NZ - but then, we're earning $NZ.

[For a price comparison on other stuff, a cup of cafe coffee costs $3-$4, an 'average' house $350,000 to buy, a month's electricity bill about $100-$250 (summer to winter - that's what we pay, anyway), a salary of $100,000 is considered high/upper management, a salary of $30,000 is considered low/labourer/new graduate.]

It's only just starting to affect how much people drive their cars.

jump to top homehandymum says:

What great news you bring us! We need to have $10.00 dollar a gallon gas to shake this country out of apathy and to force our government to start addressing our impact on global climate change. Not just with words but deeds.

jump to top omega.proteus [TypeKey Profile Page] says:

Actually fuel prices in the US are prob around $7-8 because of gov substitutes.

jump to top David says:

In sweden the gas prices is around 2.1 USD /liter , that means around 8USD/gallon. Though it doesnt have that much with the real "oil" price to do, mostly tax probably.

It looks like the prices are almost the same is in NZ.
But it is affecting the use of cars, the problem is though that the public transport system doesnt work that good except from in the larger cities.

jump to top Christopher says:

This is all controlled by the global elite.
Oil shouldn't be traded anymore and be brought back down to $50.00 a barrel but it won't

jump to top Rob says:

Heres what I think we should do. Never buy anything from gas stations but gas. That way the will make less profit and force gas prices up even more.

jump to top Richard says:

You people are stupid!! There is not and never will be an oil shortage. Alaska has one of the biggest oil pools in the world but we will not tap it for political reasons. Namely control of the masses and debt payoff by the Saudis. To want a high price, something that will end life as we know it is absolute insanity. I can tell that you all are just a bunch of pot smoking fruitcakes that live in some city high rise and when you do work you take a bus. Not everybody wants to live like that and guess what, if you get what you think is so great you will be the first to complain about how miserable your life gets. Can you say 3rd world status.

jump to top Al says:

Wishing for $10 a gallon gas is foolish. Sudden change precipitates turbulence, climatic or social. When gas reaches $10 per gallon. Bullets and food will be the currency of worth. There is no fuel shortage, only greedy fools ruining our planet and societies.

jump to top Anonymous says:

Now I am not saying that this wont be the case, however that said I will say that its hype like this that drives the price at the pump up. The speculation on prices and futures and stuff causes the price of the barrel to ramp up drastically. I think that instead of saying stupid things like this dive in and help and maybe say something like "If gas prices reach the $10 per gal. mark hybrids will also be the majorly produced car in north America." I mean why create such a thing of hype unless maybe he owns oil futures in his portfolio too. I bet he is in the back pocket of many oil companies just like so many others. The car companies, politicians, and so many more. With record profits why not try for more?

jump to top physco219 says:

It's not about wishing to have 10$ a gallon gas, it's about paying the right price for something that is polluting our home, the planet earth!

jump to top Sylk says:

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