Nine Hopeful Predictions For 2010


Futurist Syd Mead Envisions Doha,Qatar. Image credit:Strategic Design

I'm no professional futurist. That's a hopeless career possibility, anyway, since Google has pulled the curtain back on the traditional prognosticator's "MO:" make numerous long-term predictions; seek publicity for only claims that turn out "right;" ignore the wrong ones, and, above all, focus on the scary and fantastic.

What can I foresee for 2010 that is hopeful, plausible, and not romanticized? Read on.Quite likely.


  • US Environmental Protection Agency continues to develop and broadly enforce regulations, as had not been done for years.

  • The renewable energy industry will learn how to lobby more effectively, diluting some of the policy shaping power of the fossils that have ruled Washington DC since WWII ended.

  • A simple majority in Congress, and what remains of the investigative journalism establishment, will admit to an impending climate emergency.

  • Electric bills will soar for a variety of reasons: price cap deregulation; costs of health protective particulate, SOX, and mercury controls; and more expensive coal.


Possible.

  • Urban farming and aquaculture will enter a growth phase, with private investors linking up with the pioneers of these movements.

  • Large scale projects proposed to subdivide contiguous, oversize suburban homes into multi-family units.

  • Oil goes back up over US$85 per barrel and parks there.


Stretch.

  • Republicans and "moderate" Democrats in US given a Darwin Award. early Darwin award for exposing other humans to their own ignorance-caused fate.

  • Congress passes weak but upgradable climate and energy bill.


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